Not too long ago Danielle Smith in Alberta had a leadership review in which she won with 91.5% approval. 91.5 certainly sounds like a win. But what if she got 80%? Or 70%? Is that still a win? What about 55%?
If you are wondering that, then I highly recommend this piece by Jason Markusoff: Danielle Smith’s UCP leadership test: here’s what history says about how safe she is. He analyzes her win in the context of other leadership reviews where leaders scored that result or less and then summarizes what happened next.
Something to keep in mind in Canadian politics for 2025 and years to come.