
This piece, According to Big Data We Won the Vietnam War, should be read by everyone who strongly believes the next new technology (e.g. gen AI) will be able to make decisive predictions to solve big problems (e.g. the Vietnam War). The best computers and minds at the time thought they could win the war with technology. They were wrong then, and they will be wrong again.
If you think newer computers will win this time, reconsider that. If you think we learned our lesson last time, read this.
What resonated in the Forbes’ article was “Ultimately, the lesson is that data are intended to inform and complement decision making, not determine its outcomes.” However, decision making is based on information – the article does not address how to gain a better understanding of reality and at the same time make timely discussions.
Good point, Norbert!