Hans Küng puts a smackdown on Pope Benedict XVI in an Open Letter to the Bishops

Now it’s on. Küng has used the recent sex abuse scandal to launch a much broader attack on the Pope, saying in this open letter that the
Church is in the worst credibility crisis since Reformation (The Irish Times – Fri, Apr 16, 2010).  The letter is a catalog of complaints against the Pope, from his dealings with the Pius X Society, to the celebration of the Tridentine Mass to how he has dealt with “a scandal crying out to heaven”, the abus of young people and the subsequent cover-up.

While I am sure the Pope will dismiss Küng since, well…he’s Hans Küng, many other Roman Catholics will not, and some may join him. The legal forces outside combined with denunciation from within the Church will be a difficult thing for the Pope to bear.

Boys: Rhianna’s Rude Boy, M.I.A.’s Boyz, and that boy from the 80s, Keith Haring

Watching Rhianna’s Rude Boy video, I thought: I’ve seen this before. Here’s Rude Boy

Here’s M.I.A.’s Boyz

And of course Rhianna “borrows” later from Keith Haring:

All three call back to the 1980s, which maybe why I noticed it. As for me, I like Rhianna and I am happy if she gets people to look at listen at others, but since I don’t see it called out on her site, take note. 🙂

My prediction about fraud

Over a year ago, I predicted that as the financial worm is turning, based on this. from shock to fraud…. eventually some of the big players in the financial debacle in the U.S. would be going to court (and perhaps jail). Reading this, it looks like it is finally starting to happen, at least for Goldman Sachs.  It looks like the SEC has a pretty good case against Goldman. It will be interesting, to say the least, to see it played out.

Juilet Capulet is following you on twitter, or how the RSC is tweeting the Bard

Such Tweet Sorrow tells of how the Royal Shakespeare Company is using Twitter in an innovative way to tell the story of Romeo and Juliet. I don’t know if it will convey the story in the same way, but I think more to the point, it introduces one of the great works of Shakespeare in an appealing way to those who may not know it. I am always supportive of such approaches, since I learned to love opera from watch Bugs Bunny sing parts of the Marriage of Figaro many many years ago. If others come to love Shakespeare through this, then hats off to the RSC.

It’s time for progressives in the U.S. to give Blanche Lincoln credit

During HCR, progressives really came down hard on centrists like Blanche Lincoln. (The center being a very relative thing, I know, but in terms of the U.S. Senate, Lincoln is somewhere in the center.) Now with FinReg on the front of the agenda, the same progressives should be cheering her on for what Ezra Klein reports here, namely:  Blanche Lincoln’s derivatives proposal ‘sent shudders through Wall Street’. Progressives have been complaining that FinReg is going to let the banks off easy. Well if they feel that way, they should support Lincoln. Supporting people is always a better option.

Think you’re a hipster still

Then take the hipster test at  The Frisky. If you haven’t worn your hoodie in awhile, go to bed before midnight, you’re not hungover as you read this, then you may no longer be a hipster. You owe it to yourself to find out right away. (If, in fact, you can’t be bothered, then you either are really hip or you are no longer hip. I hope that helps. :))

Social networking is #1. Email? #2

According to CHART OF THE DAY: Email’s Reign Is Over, Social Networking Is The New King. The proof is here:

Now, alot of people use platforms like Facebook for email and instant messaging, essentially transferring what they do with sites and tools like Hotmail and MSN to Facebook. But they are also do more than that, and that’s likely one of the reason social networking is winning out for the time being.

Fantastic news: Maternal Deaths Decline Sharply Across the Globe

How sharp is sharp? This sharp:

According to this article in the NYTimes.com, “For the first time in decades, researchers are reporting a significant drop worldwide in the number of women dying each year from pregnancy and childbirth, to about 342,900 in 2008 from 526,300 in 1980.” Indeed, if you look at this chart, it would have dropped even faster if it wasn’t for the scourge of H.I.V.

For those of you who access to The Lancet, you can get the details there (as well as more information from the Times). 

One thing I’d like to underline is this:

“The study cited a number of reasons for the improvement: lower pregnancy rates in some countries; higher income, which improves nutrition and access to health care; more education for women; and the increasing availability of “skilled attendants” — people with some medical training — to help women give birth. Improvements in large countries like India and China helped to drive down the overall death rates”

It’s not rocket science that is saving the lives of women: it’s the basics. More and better care saves lives. Lots and lots of lives.

Providing better health care to women can save alot of lives. Here’s to everyone who is working to drive the number of material deaths down towards zero.

Good write ups on value wines from France and Italy from Beppi Crosariol

I am a big fan of the wine writing of Beppi Crosariol in the Globe and Mail. He writes well about all sorts of wine, from the rare and expensive to the everyday lowcost wines. In this article, A rare value chardonnay from Burgundy – The Globe and Mail, he writes about a

“terrific Burgundy value was just released … in Ontario… Louis Jadot Macon Villages 2007 ($14.95, product No. 164145) (it) will reach a few other provinces before the year is out. (It’s) medium-bodied, it’s clean and crisp, with a moderately silky texture and notes of tangy lemon and chalky minerality. The toasty, vanilla-like influence from oak-barrel aging is subtle and nicely integrated into the fruit. It could match nicely with a lot of light, vegetarian fare but would probably be best paired with chicken, veal or salmon. For the money, it should make connoisseurs just as happy as bargain-hunters.

It just makes you want to serve up some roast chicken and have a glass.

As for reds, he notes two of my favorite Italian reds….

“Ready for a killer red bargain? It’s name is Citra Montepulciano d’Abruzzo 2008 ($7.45, No. 446633). Familiar to bargain hunters and Italian-wedding caterers across Canada, the Citra brand from Italy did wonders with this wine from the 2008 vintage. Ultra smooth and remarkably concentrated for a wine of its price, it delivers a ripe, almost voluptuous cherry core and nice balancing acidity. Very versatile and nice on it’s own.

Returning to full inventory after a brisk sales run is another great Italian value that I’ve mentioned before, Spinelli Malbec (discounted by 50 cents to $7.45 until April 25, No. 143750). Full-bodied, succulent and smooth, it offers up juicy berry flavours and a hint of mulled-wine spice.”

Spinelli has a number of great, low cost red wines at the LCBO. They are Farnese are worth a try.

Finally, in this article he talk about Guigal from France and Côtes-du-Rhône wines. Guigal’s Côtes-du-Rhône is consistently good and well worth it, although I find many of the Côtes-du-Rhônes at the LCBO are good to very good. Now that BBQ season is coming upon us, you might want to search for them, starting with Guigal’s.

Greed threatens microloans, and snarky writing at the NYTimes.com detracts from that

While this is a really good article in some ways, Big Banks Draw Big Profits From Microloans to Poor – NYTimes.com, it is so snarky that it detracts from the reporting. For example:

“In recent years, the idea of giving small loans to poor people became the darling of the development world….”

or

“Actors like Natalie Portman and Michael Douglas lent their boldface names to the cause”

finally

“The fracas over preserving the field’s saintly aura “

It’s really simple. Microloans work well when they enable people to borrow very small amounts of money at a reasonable rate in order to kick start their business or help them deal with other financial needs that they could not have satisfied through other means. Microloans are not meant to be “trendy” or “saintly”, any more than lines of credit or personal credit cards are. Now they that have been shown to be profitable, the crooks and loan sharks are moving in. As the economist who started it says very well:

“We created microcredit to fight the loan sharks; we didn’t create microcredit to encourage new loan sharks…Microcredit should be seen as an opportunity to help people get out of poverty in a business way, but not as an opportunity to make money out of poor people.”

I think it is a testament to the strength of microfinancing that the greedy are getting involved. But while testament is fine in a limited way, what is really needed is better governance of the lenders to restrict them from ripping off people who have little money. That’s what’s needed. What isn’t needed is snark on the subject matter from Neil MacFarquhar of the NYTimes.com.

Tim Geithner steps up

I hope Americans read this opinion piece by Timothy Geithner in the Washington Post:  How to prevent America’s next financial crisis. And once they read it, I hope they will call their representatives in Washington and urge them to support this reform.  I can say this even as a Canadian, because what affects Americans this way affects the rest of the world as well. We are looking for Americans to take the lead here and get a grip on the Weapons of Financial Mass Destruction, as Warren Buffett once referred to derivatives (PDF link).

Robitussin and Pregnancy

Anyone looking to get pregnant and has heard of this should read this great piece of journalism, Robitussin: Pregnancy in a $5 bottle of hope – The Globe and Mail. It covers the story very well in addition to showing what I suspect is the state of affairs with regards to human fertility. What was also interesting is that it highlights that the makers of Robitussin are not jumping on the bandwagon with this potential new feature of their product. Lastly, even the comments — always a weak spot in the Globe and Mail — are good.

Superb science/health reporting.

A great new online planner: Weekplan

What I like about WeekPlan is that it is not just a todo list tool (though there’s nothing wrong with that). Instead, it is a weekly dashboard with your todos for the week as well as your goals that you can break down by into groups (E.g. here the author has stated his Dad goals, his husband goals and his own goals. You could add work goals, creative goals, etc.).

It also has likes to your overall vision, helping you stay focused. As Lifehacker states, WeekPlan Pairs Your Tasks with the Motivation Behind Them. Check out the Lifehacker article and then checkout the tool. It’s simple and easy to use. I highly recommend it.

On three steps to deal with an upsetting or overwhelming event in your life

I find when I am dealing with an upsetting or overwhelming events I need to do three things.

1) Acknowledge that the normal rules are put to the side for the time being. Day to day things which are not immediately relevant to whatever is overwhelming or upsetting you need to be minimized or put aside until you can deal with the situation at hand. I try to write down what is slipping so that I can deal with them in step 3. Writing them down helps you focus on the event but also helps you stop thinking about them. You need to shelve them in a way you can retrieve them later if need be.
2) Once the event has settled down somewhat, the first thing I do is rest. You need to recover somewhat, regain your energy and your strength so that you can go on to step 3. Overwhelming and upsetting events take more out of you than may sometimes acknowledge, but the need for rest will eventually catch up with you.
3a) If the event is subsiding but will start up again, you need to get help or change your life. Look at the things you put aside in step 1. Look at what you learned from dealing with what happened during the event. Take action before it occurs again.
3b) If the event is subsiding and will not start up again, you should still look at the things you put aside in step 1. Look at what you learned from dealing with what happened during the event. But now you should take action to better your life, or at least regain the parts that were good before the event occurred.

Posted via email from Bernie Michalik’s posterous site

Kevin Kelly on principles: The Peter Principle and the Shirky Principle

Kevin Kelly coins a new term, The Shirky Principle: “complex solutions (like a company, or an industry) can become so dedicated to the problem they are the solution to, that often they inadvertently perpetuate the problem.” Sadly, though, he refers to the Peter Principle in devising the term.

The Peter Principle
“says that a person in an organization will be promoted to the level of their incompetence. At which point their past achievements will prevent them from being fired, but their incompetence at this new level will prevent them from being promoted again, so they stagnate in their incompetence.” It was developed by Dr. Lawrence Peter in the 1960’s. I think it may have had alot of revelance in the 1960s and the 1970s, but when I started working in the 1980s, a new phenomena was occurring. In the 1980s, you had the notion of plateauing. With plateauing, no one was being promoted, competent or incompetent. The Peter Principle was, if not void, was severely limited. People at higher stations in the company who started work in the 1950s and 1960s may have experienced the Peter Principle, but people who started work after the baby boomers had been promoted did not. Indeed, may people who suffered from plateauing had a different outlook on work than the baby boomers, an outlook that was resigned to not getting promoted, and looked at work differently.  The same was even more true for new employees that came after that.

That leads me back to The Shirky Principle.  I wonder at what point it will no longer be true. It may be that it has no sooner been stated that it is already becoming obsolete.

What’s wrong with Clay Shirky’s post on The Collapse of Complex Business Models

This post by Clay Shirky, The Collapse of Complex Business Models, has been getting alot of attention, as it should. Let me cut to the chase and by slightly paraphrasing Shirky, highlight the main idea:

“Complex societies collapse because, when some stress comes, those societies have become too inflexible to respond….When societies fail to respond to reduced circumstances through orderly downsizing, it isn’t because they don’t want to, it’s because they can’t.

In such systems, there is no way to make things a little bit simpler – the whole edifice becomes a huge, interlocking system not readily amenable to change. … Furthermore, even when moderate adjustments could be made, they tend to be resisted, because any simplification discomfits elites.

When the value of complexity turns negative, a society plagued by an inability to react remains as complex as ever, right up to the moment where it becomes suddenly and dramatically simpler, which is to say right up to the moment of collapse. Collapse is simply the last remaining method of simplification.”

I think this is a valuable analysis of a complex system, and for complex systems where all the inputs and outputs are tightly linked together, I think that this collapsing behavoir is one you would expect to see.

I also think his examples of media companies and AT&T are good ones, because you have companies where all the input (the lines of business and associated revenue streams) are tightly coupled to the output (profitability). Furthermore, the dominant lines of business (e.g. print) constrict the subservient but more profitable lines of business (new media).

I think there are a few things wrong with this idea, however, and they center around the ideas of complexity and collapse. Some of the organizations with complex business models that are due for a collapse aren’t just in trouble because of complexity; they are also in trouble because they are singularly focused. There is little if any diversification. They are not just inflexible: they’re like one big tower of playing cards. Smart investors and businesses diversify their portfolio. Not only that, but smart businesses should have parts of their businesses in different phases of development, so that if a new line of business collapses, other new lines of business or mature lines of business will continue to support the growth of the company. Indeed, in most organizations, the mature lines of business may be complex, but the new lines should be less so. If not, then this is an organization behavioral problem more than a complex business model problem.

There is also the notion of how you manage collapse. For example, smart businesses recognize mature lines of business and know how to milk them while preparing for their eventual demise. There is not so much a collapse as there is an orderly winding down of the business. It takes discipline and an acknowledgement of the circumstances, but the collapse is orderly, not catastrophic (walking down stairs versus tumbling down them). Companies that don’t have discipline and don’t acknowledge the circumstances will fail catastrophically.

A number of years ago CityTV in Toronto took on a new, cheaper approach to gathering the news. It was simpler and cheaper than the way other media companies did it. But it was effective, and it forced the other companies to do that. The other media companies did not collapse, however. They adjusted, however painfully.

I think Rupert Murdoch is trying to make the adjustment as well. He is experimenting with different forms of media (MySpace) and different ways of generating revenue. He is failing to some degree, which makes it easy for people to say he is a failure. He may fail completely, unable and incapable of generating new business models to support his company. But if he succeeds, he will have found a way to be profitable with new media and likely generating new, simpler business models that will support them. Other companies will follow his lead. (Or someone else’s lead.)

I think media/communications companies may have to abandon some of their business models, but I think such companies will remain and they will eventually develop new mature and complex business models.

Anyway, some thoughts on Shirky’s post. It’s a great post, and a great extention of the idea of collapsing complex societies to collapsing complex business models.

Is Pope Benedict XVI the next Nixon?

It seems absurd at first thought. But read this article in The Atlantic, on Papalgate: The Pope’s Nixon Problem, which starts this way:

The ever-widening scandal over Pope Benedict XVI’s handling of Church sex abuse cases has an eerily familiar ring: it’s unfolding in much the same way that Watergate played out for Richard Nixon. Each day brings new revelations, to which the Pope and his supporters respond with carefully crafted explanations and pointed counterattacks.

Is this Watergate with holy water? Here’s a look at some of the ways in which Pope Benedict XVI has found himself caught up in a scandal of Nixonian proportions…

As author Tom McNichol explains, there are four ways this is similar:

  1. The nagging question: What Did He Know and When Did He Know It?
  2. It’s Not the Crime, It’s the Cover-up
  3. Shooting the Messenger
  4. The Dangers of Infallibility

I see alot of #3 happening right now. Obvious the Pope has risk #4 in a big way. As more and more investigation happens in various countries, #2 is becoming a bigger and bigger concern. Which leads more and more to #1.

Difficult times for the Pope and the Church lie ahead.

Google And Facebook’s Privacy Illusion

Bruce Schneier, Chief Security Technology Officer for BT, has a good article in Forbes on Google And Facebook’s Privacy Illusion.

The commentary is good and something I strongly agree with. If I can effectively sum up some of his points:

  • Young people care about privacy.
  • To them privacy is about control.
  • Big companies like Google and Facebook have a vested interest in you surrendering some of that control, and so they take steps to make it easier for you to give up that control.

Before you read another “privacy is dead” article, read Bruce’s first/instead.

On the need for a better word than “schadenfreude”

I was reading a blog post tonight that I came across serendipitously by an
author with many of the same traits I have, yet who also suffers from
serious illness and has other major difficulties. I thought a number of
things reading it, but one of them was an idea similar to but better than
schadenfreude, the taking of delight in the misfortunes of others. I
thought that there should be a word for gaining a better perspective or a
new appreciation of your life due to the misfortunes of others. For that’s
what I gained from reading this man’s story.

It’s difficult to share our misfortunes. Often times we don’t want people’s
help or sympathy: we just would like someone to listen and empathize. If
others go off an better appreciate life as a result, that is a positive
thing in itself.

It is best to inspire people by what we achieve. Other times we can help
people by showing what can be endured. With luck we can always help people
appreciate what they have.

(Hacked on my Blackberry)
—————–
Sent from my BlackBerry Handheld.

Posted via email from Bernie Michalik’s posterous site

How to make an animated feature film like “How to Train Your Dragon”? Copy it from another animated film!

What do Chicken Little, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs and How to Slay your Dragon have in common? Well, you could apply this paragraph which I tweaked very slightly from the Movie Review in the NYTimes.com by A.O. Scott on How to Train Your Dragon and use it for all three movies:

The hero is a misfit adolescent who proves his mettle, pleases his hard-to-please father and saves the world while learning important lessons and rattling off some wisecracks. Supporting characters include a spitfire love interest, a gaggle of goofy friends and a cute nonhuman sidekick.

(Ok, everyone is non-human in Chicken Little, but there is still the sidekick.)

There’s other similarities: there is no mother, the father is big and gruff and has a hard time with emotions and is ashamed of his son, and the son has a secret. The films are so similar I looked them up on imdb.com to see if they came from the same studio or same writers, but they don’t.

I liked all three films, as did my son. But I think there are better ways to show father-son relationships, and I hope they show them in upcoming animated films. At least these fathers aren’t the hopeless inept fathers I see so often on TV shows. Still.

Men’s hats in Western society – a look back to a century ago

In this article Historicist: Greeting Easter 1910 – Torontoist there is an ad featuring men’s hats from a century ago:

…with Silk Hats (think:deluxe top hat), derby hats (think: English banker) and alpine hat (think: German hat geat in Oktoberfest). Clearly if women had to have their Easter bonnet, then men had to have their corresponding new hat to make the social circuit at this time of year. Eventually silk hats faded away sometime after 1919, and by the time the 1960s arrived, hats in general for men disappeared. (Unless you count baseball hats, which I don’t.)

Back in 1910 I am sure people would have found it difficult to believe that men would go out in public without a good hat. I wonder what people a century from now will think about our attire. I am sure that they will find it odd we still wear two piece suits and neckties. Perhaps even dress shoes as they are now will see odd.

The myth of style and money

If you have alot of money, you can get clothing that is constructed impeccably of the finest materials. But there’s more to having style than that. Indeed, as this Joe Fresh show at Toronto Fashion Week illustrates, you can look very stylish indeed with low cost clothing. H&M have been proving this for years by having big name designers like Lagerfeld and McCartney creating lines for them. Now Joe Fresh does it too.

It’s all about how you wear your clothes and carry yourself that determines your style. Not how much it all costs.

Putting the iPad in perspective – April 2010 edition

I’ve been reading alot of pro and con articles about the iPad. David Pogue at the NYtimes.com had both in his review. And now there’s this:
Cost and Redundancy Issues Confront iPad – NYTimes.com. I partially agree with this: the early adopters are going the snap up the iPad, just like they did with the iPhone. And if the iPad was a design dead end, then I would worry if I were Apple. But of course it’s not a design dead end; if anything, it is designed as just the start of a new platform for people. There are lots of things that can be done to improve the iPad, and I am willing to bet Apple will include those overtime. Overtime the people with netbooks and laptops and other portable devices will be looking to upgrade and then they will buy an iPad or some other tablet device. (I wouldn’t assume that Microsoft is going to be left out of this, or RIM for that matter, or Acer, or HP or Dell.)

I would be hard pressed to imagine some future other than one where Apple sells alot of these. Then other devices like the Touch will die off. Costs will come down as competition ramps up, too. But by that time, Apple will have some new device. It’s a pattern we have seen before, and I can’t see it being broken.

As for me, eventually I will get one, I think. I love my Touch, I have a few iPods, and I like my netbook and my laptop. I think it will be a good thing to have, but it is just a computing device, and not even a terribly innovative one at that.