Email grows up. Or the U.S. Senate starts to catch up.

How? By moving this way: Senate Judiciary Committee Approves Overhaul of Electronic Communications Privacy Act – NYTimes.com. As the Times says:

The Senate Judiciary Committee on Thursday approved a bill that would strengthen privacy protection for e-mails by requiring law enforcement officials to obtain a warrant from a judge in most cases before gaining access to messages in individual accounts stored electronically.

Someone on Twitter said that we should thank General Petraeus for this, and they may be correct. His recent situation likely has lead to bipartisan support for updating the law and giving more protection to email (which is more or less the only mail people send or receive these days)

I believe laws for email and other IT need to be updated more frequently (this law was on the books in 1986). Not as often as tech does, but it should be regularly reviewed for relvance.

Digital City: using payphones to make the city (New York City) into a computer

It’s good to see New York city taking advantage of existing infrastructure (pay phone pods) to make their city more digital: First of 250 internet-connected touchscreens replace pay phones in New York City | The Verge. It is not as novel as this use of the pay phone pods (How New York Pay Phones Became Guerrilla Libraries – Arts & Lifestyle – The Atlantic Cities) but it will be more useful.A great example of the city becoming a computer.

It is good to see New York leading in efforts to make theirs a digital city. See also this article, More NY Subway Stations Will Get Wi-Fi, Cell Service – Personal-tech – Wireless Technology – BYTE. Digital cities need user interfaces (like the touchscreens), but they also need infrastructure (the wireless network). Now they need more APIs and other components and subsystems if they are going to truly become something users can use and programmers can program. But it’s getting there.

While lots of cities will be pursuing such ideas, I think New York making progress like this will help propel alot of other cities to become more digital.

(Standard disclaimer: this post expresses my own thoughts and opinions and not those of my employer.)

In defense of Black Friday: or 6 reasons why it is a good thing

It seems a universal thing to slam Black Friday. And the excessive of it is a bad thing, for certain. However, here’s six reasons why it is a good things.

  1. It helps you get your Christmas shopping out of the way.
  2. It helps you save on your Christmas shopping.
  3. It gives you a chance to get away from your family on American Thanksgiving 🙂
  4. It helps retailers plan their year. Retail is a tough business. This helps make it less difficult.
  5. It’s forces retailers to compete for your business by offering you good deals.
  6. It’s voluntary. No one is making you go and shop. Don’t like Black Friday? Don’t go.

It is very likely that Black Friday is eventually going to blow up. In Canada, Boxing Day sales (which used to happen on December 26th and are just as bad if not worse than Black Friday) have become diluted over time. Now it’s Boxing Week sales, and sales before Christmas, etc. in Canada. I expect the same thing will happen with Black Friday. In the meantime, those keen to shop and save should get out there. The rest should enjoy the season and relax and unwind.

 

The new vernacular for the workplace

While lots of office space still conforms to cubicleland, more and more of it are looking like this: The new Google HQ in Toronto is better than your office. It’s a good article, and you should check it out to see what the new HQ looks like. (Yes, it has the ubiquitous foosball table, but it has a nice Toronto mural on the wall).

I think this is going to be the way it is or should be for offices of the future. For example, if you go and look up jobs at Medium (e.g., this one,Infrastructure Engineer — Work at Medium — Medium), you will see that they are promoting their stylish workplace at the same time they are looking for skilled people to work for them. And why not? Better work environments give companies competitive advantages when it comes to attracting talent. Even mobile work spaces like the ING DIRECT Canada Downtown Café in Toronto has a similar style to it.

If you want people to work for you now and in the future, you need to provide a similar if not better work environment. This is the new vernacular for the workplace.

The upcoming robot / drone infestation problem

It may sound ridiculous, “The upcoming robot infestation problem”, so consider this:

  1. Build your own drones: iStrike Shuttle | Dream Cheeky
  2. Wifi everywhere: More NY Subway Stations Will Get Wi-Fi, Cell Service – Personal-tech – Wireless Technology – BYTE

Mobile technology is going to be going in a new direction. It will no longer need to be held by you. It will be very cheap and very mobile. You can release it into the physical world and it can go places for you and monitor or deliver things for you, as #1 shows. Instead of stalking your ex on Facebook, you can stalk them by releasing a drone to circle their yard. Want to see if someone is doing something they shouldn’t? Send a drone (or 10).

The newer drones won’t continue to be as primitive as #1: they’ll be small and sophisticated. Just as handheld devices have become more and more sophisticated, so too will the new personal drones. And what will the drones use to communicate back and forth? Why the new wifi that will be built out in our cities. (See #2).  People will be able to release drones onto the ground, into the air, and they will send information back via metro wifi and determine future information based on feedback from their base.

Already there are primitive drone type devices for sale in electronic stores. About the only thing that will prevent drones from having more of a future will be cost or capability. But if the cost goes down, expect to see alot more drones in use and walking or flying in a neighborhood near you. What will people do with them? If they are general purpose enough, you will see all sorts of uses for personal and professional drones and robots.

Finally, there is no guarantee they will be harmless drones, either. More likely they could be like this:

Christmas is coming. You’ll need wine and gifts. So go see Natalie MacLean’s web site

Why? Two reasons at least. One, she has lots of great books on wine you can pick up as gifts, including ‘Unquenchable’ and ‘Red, White and Drunk All Over’. Her latest just came out in paperback.

Two, she can help you save money and get great wine if you go here: Wine Reviews and Food Pairings.

There’s lots of other good reasons to visit her site but those are two great ones to get you started.

Cheers!

P.S. Mobile phone users, check out her mobile app as well.

I continue to be amazed at how Facebook continues to abuse their user community. The latest is…

This: Facebook ‘Security’ Phone Number Being Sold To Advertisers – Business Insider

Yep. The phone number they said was security purposes is now being used to target you more effectively for advertisements

You should just assume that any information that you provide Facebook will be used against you. No wonder they are rapidly becoming the next version of MySpace.

The myth that there is one villian in the demise of Hostess

Can be wiped away by reading this, Who’s to Blame for the Hostess Bankruptcy: Wall Street, Unions, or Carbs? – Jordan Weissmann – The Atlantic. As anyone with intelligence would suspect, it is not a simple matter of blaming the unions or the executives, though all have made bad decisions that have cost the company. It also sounds like the company is dysfunctional from top to bottom. Finally, as much as people are sentimental about the loss of the company, I think there is more sentiment than demand for the product.

There will be lots more to come from Hostess, or whomever ends up taking over the products they produce. But to use the situation as one to make political points means you miss the real problems there.

Nate Silver: why you should read this interview

It could be tempting to see Nate Silver as someone trendy that will come and go, especially after the way people went gaga over him during the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election. But Silver is in the vanguard of how journalism is changing over the next decade. Alot of work with regards to data and news and journalism has been ongoing for a few years, but now it is going to accelerate. If you follow only one person to keep tabs on the changes, you should follow Nate.

To get a taste of what I mean, check out this interview of him: Nate Silver on the Election, Pundits, and His Drunk Alter Ego – C Notes – November 2012.

Even if you don’t agree with me, read the interview: he’s an interesting guy and they did a good job. Well worth a few minutes (but you will be thinking about it long afterwards).

 

Two stories that tell one story about the strains in China

The first is this one, China congress ends with new leader, and fractured leadership – The Globe and Mail.

The second is this one, How Online Sleuths Are Transforming Chinese Officialdom | Tea Leaf Nation.

Read one, then the other. They are really two sides of the same story, and they lead to the idea that China is going to be undergoing some dramatic shifts in the next decade. I am not hopeful for positive change in China, but no one knows this, not even the Chinese themselves, I suspect.

Blogging: still a good idea in 2012

With all the social media available now, blogging no longer gets the same love it did just a few years ago. That said, blogging is still a great medium with lots of flexiblity. If you have something to share (who doesn’t) and need to log it some where, blogging is still a great way to go.

One thing you want to know if you are blogging is where should I blog. This fairly up to date post, Choosing a Free Blog Host – Comparing WordPress.com, Blogger, Tumblr and Posterous, has a great rundown of four of the most popular places to blog.

As for me, here’s my post on What blogs I have and what I host them on

It’s a few years old, but still holds true. I have cut back on my blogging and now have limited to posterous and WordPress.com. But tumblr is really good, and it has a social aspect that cannot be beat. And blogger.com has been revamped not too long ago and it is much better. I don’t think you can go wrong with any of them. You just need to find the one best for you.

For pure ease of use, I still think posterous is best, although they have all taken ideas from each other and they are all easy to use.

This is not to take away from other social media. From Pinterest to Twitter to Facebook, it’s all good in its own way.

Beauty and time (story fragment)

Her beauty was not his. The curve of her cheek would never rest in his hands. The curves of body, never fall into his arms. The hands that handed him his change, would never rest upon him. Her eyes would never transfix him, nor would her smile transform him. He would not lie and study the fineness of her face: the line of her brow, the colour of her eye, the thickness of her lips. All of these things were before him, but none of them were for him.

Her beauty was not hers. It was a different beauty, though in time it was similar. And the man at the counter too was young then, and she was young and beautiful like the woman with the change. And her cheek feel in his hands. And the curves of her body fell into his arms. The woman who looked through the glass at the man and the young woman, her eyes would transfix on him then, and her smile transformed him. And she would lie and study the fineness of his face: the line of his beard, the colour of his eye, the smile on his lips. All of these things were before her now, like the were then, but that was then and the man through the window was no longer him but an older version of the man then.

…..

Her beauty was not his.  In time it would not be hers.

…..

Increasing root disk size in Amazon EC2 is a two stage process. You need to do both things to succeed.. #geekish

If you have a root disk on an AMI on Amazon’s EC2 server that is too small and you want to increase it, you have to do two things.

You need to 1) create a new volume and 2) you need to resize it.

To create a new volume, you have to stop the server, take a snapshot of the current drive, build a new bigger volume with the snapshot, detach the old volume and attach the new volume. (Note: make sure you get the name of the mount point correct. I was typing /dev/sda instead of /dev/sda1 and it was failing).

Once you do that and start the server, you need to login to the server and increase the disk size. For Ubuntu this will be done with resize2fs command. On Windows, it will be done with the diskpart command.

The following links will provide you with some details on these steps:

Note, for the diskpart command, you should enter a list disk and list partition command and then enter commands like this select disk=1 and select partition=1 (assuming that you want to extend disk 1 and partition 1. I think the root drive is disk 0, in which case you just enter select disk=0)

I am entering all this because I spent far too many hours figuring this out. Why should you have to as well? 🙂


So how does the new iPad Mini stack up against the Google Nexus 7 vs. Amazon Kindle Fire HD, you ask?

CNET already has the answer, here: iPad Mini vs. Google Nexus 7 vs. Amazon Kindle Fire HD | iPad Atlas – CNET Reviews.

Short answer: Apple fans will get the Mini. People who are not fans or looking to save money will likely gravitate towards the other two.

My first thought is that this is going to grow the tablet market signifigantly, and all three companies will benefit in the short term.

My second thought is that Apple is just getting started, and subsequent Minis will get better and better. I can’t see why Google won’t follow suit.

Exciting times!

 

The biggest thing that happened last week is QE3. Here’s what it is, and what it means for the future

Ezra Klein does a good job about explaining QE3 (Here’s why everyone is so excited about what the Fed did yesterday). So much so that I think you should go read it (if for no other reason, you will now know what QE3 is.)

What he does leave out is something I don’t think alot of people are talking about, and that is that the U.S. Federal Reserve is exercising new approaches to affecting the economy. I think QE3 will be either be successful or at the very least, not unsuccessful. While being successful is important now, what is just as important is that in the future, the Fed (and other central banks around the world) will have a precedent for doing the same thing again. And that is a good thing.

The head of the Fed, Ben Bernanke, should have done this along time ago. I think partly he did not because of push back and fears of what this might do. But now the precedent has been set, it will not be as hard to do again in the future.

And that’s a good thing.

More on life expectancy falling in the U.S. and where it is falling

This map was taken from here: Where life expectancy is falling (in one map). Key quote:

The areas are by and large rural and lower income. They also tend to be areas with fewer doctors, likely meaning less access to the health care resources available elsewhere in the country.

I would be interested to know obesity rates and smoking rates in these areas. Also it is noteworthy that it is concentrated in the South of the U.S. I don’t know if there is a cultural element coming in there (and it would likely be hard to measure, especially compared to concrete things such as obesity, exercise rates, smoking, etc.).

Regardless, it’s not good.

P.S. Obesity rates are here and they overlap to a great degree.

Enrico Nagel and the Tragically Hip and the Xerox machine

I came across these great portraits of Enrico Nagel, like this one:

via Andrew Sullivan’s blog. I wanted to know more, and I clicked through to this link, Flavorwire » Enrico Nagel’s Delightfully Strange Scanner Portraits. I recommend you do too: there’s lots of great portraiture there.

It put me in mind of this cover art from the Tragically Hip from 1992, for the album, Fully Completely

The album came with art similar to Nagel’s. Both are really good. The Hip has the benefit of coming with great music too. 🙂

This is inexcusable: life expectancy rates are declining in the U.S.

While there is a focus here on white Americans, Life Expectancy for Less Educated Whites in U.S. Is Shrinking – NYTimes.com, the fact that life expectancy for ANY group in the U.S. is inexcusable. Women in particular have been hit hard. Key quote:

The five-year decline for white women rivals the catastrophic seven-year drop for Russian men in the years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, said Michael Marmot, director of the Institute of Health Equity in London.

It’s not a small thing: it’s comparable to the collapse of the Soviet Union.

American society as a whole is suffering badly. This is a key indicator of it, and a signifigant sign more dramatic changes need to occur.

Why is U.S. election is going to result in a big shift in polling

One reason: cell phones. As this article shows, Obama’s Lead Looks Stronger in Polls That Include Cellphones – NYTimes.com, there is a big difference in polls that use cell phones in their mix and those that do not.

I think the ones that that include cell phones show better results. If they do, I also expect the ones that do not include cell phones will change their methodology soon. Or go out of business.

 

Lloyd Blankfein, CEO of Goldman Sachs and… socialist

He jokes he is not a socialist, but read his comments in this article, Lloyd Blankfein’s ‘socialist’ moment – The Globe and Mail. Such comments can easily get you labelled “socialist” in large parts of Western countries. For example, some of things attributed to him in the article are:

The U.S. economy does not do a good enough job of distributing wealth fairly. The U.S. government needs to keep spending. Investment banks must accept more regulation. Oh, and bankers should be prepared for the criticism that comes with having been at the centre of the financial crisis.

Such declarations aren’t coming from Barack Obama or an Occupy Wall Street protester – they’re from Lloyd Blankfein, the head of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

Well worth a read.

If Tolstoy can learn to ride a bike at 67, you can still learn things too.

It helps to be reminded from time to time that it is never too late to learn new things and discover new passions. In this article, How Tolstoy Learned to Ride a Bike, and Other Tales of Late-Life Learning – NYTimes.com, Chales Wilson provides a number of examples of late learners, from Toystoy to Eisenhower to Marie Curie. In Toystoy’s case

The author of “War and Peace” took his first bicycling lesson at age 67, only a month after the death of his 7-year-old son, Vanichka. He was still grieving, and the Moscow Society of Velocipede-Lovers provided him a free bike and instruction along the garden paths on his estate. He became a devotee, taking rides after his morning chores. “Count Leo Tolstoy . . . now rides the wheel,” declared Scientific American in 1896, “much to the astonishment of the peasants on his estate.”

We can rebuild you: the progress in growing new organs

This is amazing: Scientists Make Progress in Tailor-Made Organs – NYTimes.com. It’s still in the early stages, and it is possible that the more complex organs will not be that easy to grow (e.g. parts of the brain). It’s worth reading, as well as worth thinking about.

There may come a time when people get their organs changed like they were shoes or tires on cars. When the difference between rich and poor will depend on the ability to swap out organs.

The future is here, all around us, happening while we look elsewhere.

 

The most remarkable story no one is talking about: the recovery of AIG due to TARP

This is a great success story that few are talking about. AIG could have gone under during the financial crisis of 2008, and if it had, it had the potential of taking down the global economy. Instead, it was rescued by TARP. Not only was it rescued, but the American government is going to make a profit from it and sell off most of their shares. Key take aways from this Globe and Mail story:

It’s not easy to celebrate the anniversary of the financial meltdown. American International Group, however, is providing reason for a muted cheer. Uncle Sam is ceding control of the giant insurer four years after a rescue that eventually put taxpayers on the hook for $182-billion (U.S.). The planned sale of AIG shares should net a profit, too. But exuberant political messaging would create the wrong impression about bailouts…..

Over the weekend, the U.S. Treasury said it could sell as much as $20.7-billion of its AIG common shares if underwriters exercise an overallotment option. That would slash the government’s stake to 15 per cent from the current 53 per cent – and 92 per cent in the aftermath of the crisis. Given the horror show AIG was, it’s a turnaround nearly impossible to have foreseen at the end of 2008.

It seems to me whoever wrote this article has gone out of their way to downplay the success of this. Ignore the tone of the article: this is a big success.

It is a shame it is not going to get touted more, but it won’t. The Republicans hate TARP and would hate even more to play up the success of it. And the Democrats don’t want to be associated with bailing out a Wall Street firm as big and terrible as AIG.

Still, this is remarkable.

Friday Night Music: “I want you back”, past and present

This week the great Janelle Monáe was in Toronto and among other numbers, she performed this classic:

Janelle Monáe – I Want You Back, Live @ the Nobel Peace Prize Concert 2011 – YouTube

I love love love her, but this is a version….well, it’s a bit too fast.(Still great though.) To see what I mean, here’s the ultimate version, performed by the Jacksons themselves, on Soul Train, no less:

Michael Jackson with The Jackson 5 on Soul Train I Want You Back – YouTube

Eiher way, it is an exceptional song.

Bonus: if you, like I, think this is one of the great songs of the 20th century, let the young ones you know listen to this:

Chances are they know this show, and they will groove to this version. And if they do, your work is done.

Victorious I Want You Back Music Video HD with lyrics – YouTube

A tale of two Brooklyns (some thoughts)

There’s been a number of people (see articles Brooklyn Is the Second Most Expensive Place to Live in the U.S. | Observer and Brooklyn is No Longer the “Budget-Savvy” Alternative to Manhattan – New York – News – Runnin’ Scared) commenting on the report from the Council for Community and Economic Research that shows that Brooklyn is the second most expensive place to live in the U.S. (Manhattan is number 1). I joked that this is good news for Queens, but apparently it is number 5. 

Some thoughts on this. One, this is a tale of two Brooklyns. Sure, some parts of Brooklyn are very expensive, but other parts are not. New York has always been about rich and poor neighborhoods as long as I can recall. Once it seemed like outsiders only talked about the neighborhoods of Manhattan, but now this has expanded to Brooklyn. And Brooklyn has many neighborhoods, from Williamsburg and Greenpoint and Park Slope (the trendy ones) to Canarsie and Flatbush and Brownsville (the less trendy ones). If Mayor Bloomberg is successful in leading the charge of making New York a center for development and growth of new businesses, I suspect even the less trendy neighborhoods will start to become hip destinations and they too will become more gentrified and expensive.

Two, this problem of Brooklyn (or at least parts of it) becoming trendy and expensive is a good problem to have. Cities like Detroit would love to have this problem. It is not a problem anyone would have anticipated in the mid 70s when New York almost went bankrupt (What Happens When City Hall Goes Bankrupt? : NPR). It says something of the health of New York that it is such a mecca for people to want to go there and live there, in spite of the costs.

Three: the division of New York into boroughs for this study is a bit disingenous. New York City is expensive. If Manhattan is first, Brooklyn is second, and Queens is fifth, it seems to me this is as much a nature of that large metropolis as it is the nature of the individual boroughs. If Manhattan was first and Buffalo was second, and the other boroughts way down the list, that would be one thing. But the New York boroughs share many things that makes all of them will expensive (e.g., infrastructure). I don’t know where the Bronx and Staten Island were on that list, but I suspect they would be up there too. Dividing the boroughs up is artificial. What it really highlights is that it is tough to have your cake (live well in NYC) and eat it too (live cheaply).

On the U.S. Presidential Election: speeches are great, but it’s the numbers that matter

Speeches are great. They get people excited and give them something to talk about. Conventions are grand and theatrical. It’s not suprising that they get alot of attention.

Elections, however, are about numbers. Here are two sets of them.

The first set comes from the great FiveThirtyEight Blog on the NYTimes.com, run by Nate Silver. Right now, Silver has the probabiliy of Obama winning at 74.8%. That could change of course, but right now it is very strongly in Obama’s favour.

Here’s another set of numbers from the blog The Mischiefs of Faction.

What it shows is that Obama’s campaign has a much better ground game in the swing states. Perhaps Romney can win overcome this, though that seems unlikely in a supposedly close election.

In short, right now Obama is more popular in the swing states and he has a better ground game in those states.

Of course the election is many weeks away. But I am trying to see how Romney wins this, and right now the only way I see it is if something suddenly goes horribly wrong with the economy. Let’s see.

(Thanks to Andrew Sullivan for a pointer to this second blog.)

 

Why software licence agreements may be behind the legal issue with regards to Bruce Willis owning his iTunes library

According to Forbes, Bruce Willis may be suing Apple over his right  to bequeath his iTunes library.. A key quote from the article is this:

…under iTunes’ current terms and conditions, customers essentially only ‘borrow’ tracks rather than owning them outright. So any music library amassed like that would be worthless when the owner dies.

This restriction may seem ridiculous to alot of people, but I have often seen it as something in the terms and conditions (Ts and Cs) for software. For software, the Ts and Cs will sometimes state that you are actually purchasing a license to use the software: you are not purchasing the actual software. For the purchasers, this doesn’t matter too much: no one is going to bequeath their old copies of DOS or Lotus 1-2-3 to anyone in their will, and the software companies likely aren’t going to try to prevent you from doing it if you do.

I am speculating that the same legal Ts and Cs that were used for software migrated over to music. The problem, of course, is that music is much more personal and has a much longer shelf life than software. The same too goes for digital books and any other digital material that comes up in the future.

I expect this will become a much bigger legal issue soon. I also recommend anyone selling digital media start thinking long term and how that could affect their company over time.

Another number (besides the unemployment figures) to look at when it comes to the upcoming U.S. elections

Is this one: real disposable personal income (as shown in this graph).

As you can see, it has recovered almost to the peak of where it was just before the start of the Great Recession. What this means is that while people will say the economy is still bad, what they are able to save or purchase has recovered signifigantly in the last four years. I think that may make them less resistant to changing government than political analysts may think based on other numbers (like the unemployment rate). Time will tell soon enough.

P.S. I got this from Matt Yglesias (https://twitter.com/mattyglesias) who wrote about it in the context of the Bush signs stimulus bill of 2008.That stimulus accounts for spike in 2008. Then the Great Recession strikes and things drop dramatically. This was followed by further stimulus, including payroll tax cuts.

Graph: Real Disposable Personal Income (DSPIC96) – FRED – St. Louis Fed