Nike seems to think so, based on this: Nike Wants Athletes to Run a Marathon in Under Two Hours, So It’s Rebuilding the Race. And the Runners | WIRED
While it’s a bad idea to say it can’t happen, Runner’s World has a long list of reasons why it will be a difficult thing to accomplish: What Will It Take to Run A 2-Hour Marathon
Perhaps the two hour marathon will be like the four minute mile: once insurmountable, then broken, then broken often. If and when that happens, I think it will not be a near term event.
In the meantime, read the articles, especially the one from Runner’s World: it’s a fascinating study into biomechanics and running, as well as some fine infographics.
The marathon is great race, and if you are aiming to run your first in the new year, it is a great thing to accomplish.
That said, you can also get a great sense of accomplishment out of running races less than 42.2 kilometers. To see what I mean, I highly recommend these two articles that praise the 5K:
- The 5K, Not The Marathon, Is The Ideal Race | FiveThirtyEight
- 10 Reasons the 5K is Freaking Awesome | Runner’s World
After reading them, I had a much greater appreciation of that race. (I think the same argument could be made for the 10K.)
As for me, I am a fan of the half-marathon. The only thing I don’t like about it is the name: it implies you haven’t done something great, when you have. Perhaps it needs to get rebranded as a 20K: not half a marathon, but twice a 10K!
Regardless of the distance you run, and how often you run it, enjoy your athleticism and take pride in it.
(Chart is a link to the image from the FiveThirtyEight article)