Month: April 2025

On the joy of the Web: from Kleon to Pullman to Rembrandt

I was reading this piece by Austin Kleon, and there was a reference to a piece by Philip Pullman in which Pullman discussed drawing and spoke of “Rembrandt’s astonishing drawing of the toddler learning to walk”. That led me to the link which all these great Rembrandt drawings, including the one above. What a joy it was to serendipitously see these sketches of the Dutch master.

That experience reminded me of the joy of the Web: you surf from one page to the next, and suddenly you find something unexpected and wonderful. There’s so much bad material on the Web these days, it’s was great to have the kind of experience I used to have when I first started using a browser.

Like in life, try and follow and associate with the better people of the Internet and the World Wide Web. It will pay off with benefits you didn’t know were possible.

On substack and it’s alternatives and why you might want to switch

If you use Substack, should you stay on it? You might want to leave because of its Nazi problem, and that’s a good reason to do so. However for this post I’d like to focus on why you might you might want to leave for financial reasons.

To see what I mean about financial reasons, take a look at this chart above. I found it via this post on Bluesky: “Here’s some napkin math for how expensive Substack is compared to its competitors, assuming that roughly 7% of all subscribers will pay for their subscriptions, and that subscriptions cost $5/month. — Molly White (@molly.wiki) April 11, 2025 at 10:47 AM”. According to the chart, once you get above 18 paid subscribers, it gets worse and worse to be on Substack vs some of the other platforms there. And if you have 350 paid subscribers, all of the alternative platforms are cheaper.

I commented that I thought 7% was the highend, since I’ve seen a numerous substacks with 3% pay/free, but she replied she got the 7% from substack. Fair enough. I did come across this chart that showed the percentage varies, depending on the substack topic. Regardless of what percentage of your followers are paying one, once you start getting a significant number of paying subscribers, you should consider moving.

If you still need convincing that switching seems like a good move, read this.

On American state terror, new and old

The great Timothy Snyder has written an excellent post on the use of State Terror within the Trump administration. You can find it here. I recommend everyone read it.

I think he made a mistake with this sentence, though: “This is the beginning of an American policy of state terror”.  It may seem like the beginning for some people. But as this piece by Christina Greer in the New York Times argues, it is not a new thing at all. A key section from her piece is this:

“How can this be happening in America?” these people ask. “This is not the country I know, the country of rights and laws and due process.”

Needless to say, these people are almost all white and liberal and are not used to feeling this fear of arbitrary, brutal state authority. But this moment, the one that was explicitly promised by Project 2025 and Donald Trump when he was a candidate, looks a lot like what my grandmother experienced every day for much of her life. It is frightening and disappointing but not surprising if one knows anything about the Black experience in America. And not the sanitized just-so version of the Black experience in which America skips from slavery, Harriet Tubman and Frederick Douglass to civil rights, Martin Luther King Jr. and Rosa Parks and somehow ends with a postracial America and Barack Obama.

Black people have seen this America before.

Japanese Americans have also seen this when they were interned by the U.S. government during World War II. And they weren’t the only ones interned: German Americans and Italian Americans have also been thrown into American concentration camps in the 20th century. I can go back further and include the ethnic cleansing of Native Americans during the Trail of Tears in the 19th century. The list of State Terror activities within the United States of America is a long one.

Trump may be unique in the way he goes about using State Terror this time. But it is not a new thing in America.

(Image is a map of the locations of internment camps for German enemy aliens during World War II. From Wikipedia.)

 

On how generative AI is an accelerant and how it compares to PCs and the Web

 

People have many perspectives on generative AI.  On Bluesky in particular, it’s perceived negatively. They see it as a huge drain on environment. They see the people who develop it as IP thieves. They see it as taking away jobs.

For people who think this is the only way generative AI can be, I’d like to point them to the work my employer is doing with AI and the AI ethical guidelines they’ve published here.

Generative AI can be seen in a positive way. My opinion (not speaking for my employer) is that as the tools that sit in front of gen AI get better and the models that underline gen AI improve, we all will use it every day, in the same way we use search engines and spreadsheets every day.

I’d add that gen AI technology can be considered an accelerant. In any given social order, some participants will choose to adopt an accelerant and disrupt that order by speeding past others. It could be high skilled or low skilled participants. Those who value the current order and their place in it will try to prevent that from happening but likely will fail. This happened with previous accelerants like personal computers and the Web. People who were invested in the order before PCs and the Web were disrupted by those who adopted and exploited the capabilities of the accelerants. (Not all accelerants are technological: literacy, voting rights and access to financial services are also accelerants. I just feel more confident talking about comp sci vs poli sci.) I think this will be true for generative AI. Back in the 80s I thought that individuals and companies that invested in personal computers would leapfrog individuals and companies that ignored PCs. That turned out to be true, just as it was true for individuals and companies that embraced the Web. I think the same will hold for generative AI.

So don’t be like Linda: learn more about gen AI and do not confuse it with A1 sauce. 🙂 If it can help, I wrote a guide on it recently that could be worth your while to check out.

P.S. For anyone wondering, this post is my own and doesn’t necessarily represent IBM’s positions, strategies or opinions. For more on that, see IBM’s social media policy, which as an employee I follow.

P.S.S. I think if you are going to be speaking on AI as the Secretary for Education, you should at least know how to say it.

Andor is good for many reasons, and enjoyable for all. You should watch it.

Even if you don’t normally watch Star Wars movies, consider watching Andor. Like the movie it arises from, Rogue One, it stands apart from much that is Star Wars. There’s no light sabre battles, no Force, none of the things you may associate with the franchise. It is still in the Star Wars universe, which is why you will see Storm Troopers in their white uniforms, as well as other such things. But it really is a good dramatic series that’s well written and well acted. For fans of Star Wars, it’s good TV. But people indifferent to Star Wars will find it is good TV too.

I could go on, but Don Moynihan is miles ahead in terms of making a strong and thoughtful case for it, here. Don writes about governance, so he sees the series from that lens. And quite the lens it is. I highly recommend you read his piece.

One thing I noticed that wasn’t in his piece is the colonialism that comes through in the series. The Empire has taken over planets in a way not unlike earthly empires take over countries, and the series explores what that does to both those loyal to the Empire and those fed up with it.

Andor starts up season 2 this month. Go watch season one on Disney+ now. Check out Rogue One too (though you can watch Andor independently of it and the rest of the Star Wars films). Hopefully season 2 will be worthwhile TV too.

The Matrix is an Easter Movie (as are the Alien films)

People often joke about which non-traditional films are Christmas Movies, with “Die Hard” being at the top of the list. Unlike Christmas, not many non-traditional films are associated with Easter.

I’d like to nominate the Matrix to non-traditional Easter movies. The movie is soaked in Christianity. As this really good piece on The Matrix explains:

Neo’s buyer also jokes that Neo is his “own personal Jesus Christ,” a moment that sets up the many biblical allusions in the film — the city of Zion (a biblical name for Jerusalem as well as the idea of the city of God), Cypher’s Judas-like betrayal, a very important character named Trinity. At the time, this was catnip to youth group leaders looking for a way to make religion cool.

And “The Matrix” as religious allegory has stuck. The last 25 years have seen books published with titles like “Escaping the Matrix: Setting Your Mind Free to Experience Real Life in Christ,” “The Gospel Reloaded” and “Christ—The Original Matrix.” If you’re looking for it, it’s definitely there.

Neo escapes the Matrix when he is released from his pod (an egglike device). He is considered The One, before he is betrayed by Cypher. He is killed by the Agents who could be stand-ins for the Romas, but then is resurrected. If you look, you can see all sorts of similar themes.

Of course that films has many other good themes in it. To see what I mean, check out that piece in the link above. The Matrix really is a good way to think about much of our current world.

P.S. I got the idea for this from this post on BlueSky, which pointed to the Alien films as great Easter films. This post got me thinking that The Matrix also has all this too.

Eggs, sacrifice, resurrection … the perfect Easter films?

— Daniel Benneworth-Gray (@danielgray.com) April 18, 2025 at 10:12 AM

The Dead Sea Scrolls (Digital Library)

This site, The Dead Sea Scrolls Digital Library,

offers an exceptional encounter with antiquity. Using the world’s most advanced imaging technology, the Digital Library preserves thousands of scroll fragments, including the oldest known copies of biblical texts, now accessible to the public for the first time.

It’s quite something to see what they have on display, especially for non-scholars like me who would never get this close to such ancient pieces. It’s well worth taking a look, especially during Passover / Easter.

On Martha Stewart and other Unstoppables

Martha Stewart
The New York Times website will often have sections on topics which aren’t newsworthy but are noteworthy. A good example of that is this section called The Unstoppables: Creatives Talk About Aging, Lifelong Career and Ambition. The Times sums it up this way: “The Unstoppables is a series about people whose ambition is undimmed by time”. There’s pieces on Lauren Hutton, Georgio Armani, Martha Stewart, and more. (I especially liked this piece: The Secret of Life Is Not to Be Frightened.) If you ever wonder how to stay creative as you get older, I recommend The Unstoppables, regardless of how old you are.

Speaking of Martha, Netflix has a good documentary on her called….Martha. Was Martha happy with “Martha”? No, she was not. She has trashed the film in several places, partially because she comes off as a “lonely old lady” and “prickly”. I get why she would not like it, but I think as documentaries go, it was good. Martha can be a difficult person to like, though that depends on your tastes. Indeed, some critics like that she is “a perfectionist control freak” and all that goes with that designation.

However likeable she is, I think Martha did something massive early in her career: she transformed our culture and the way people do business. She is as significant a figure as a major artist or a major executive. Perhaps even more so, because she was all of that rolled up into one package. When you get big enough in our culture, you get to go by one name, and Martha was and is big enough.

Anyone else who had such a big impact early in their life might retreat to a simpler life as they aged. Not her. Despite all her ups and downs, she continues to march on in her own perfect and precise way even in her 80s. She is truly Unstoppable. And that’s a good thing.

Five time pieces that aren’t an Apple Watch

Once I got an Apple Watch, it was hard to wear any other time piece again. In some ways that’s great, since my Watch can do anything other wearable time pieces can do. And then some. That said, I do miss wearing other time pieces.

For example, the Timex Ironman watch. When I was seriously into running I wore my Ironman until it literally stopped working. I’m glad to see Timex still sells the versions of the ones I had, the original TIMEX IRONMAN Flix 100 Lap watch  and the updated TIMEX IRONMAN watch. I liked the updated version, but the original was a watch I loved.

Another watch I loved was the Pebble. It too was an original, as far as smart watches go. Then Apple released their watch and like many people, I swapped my Pebble for Apple. Some time after that, the Pebble company itself disappeared, until now. As the new developers proclaim: We’re bringing Pebble back! For fans of it, and even those curious, check out that link.

Another smart watch — as in design smart — is this Casio sauna watch with 12-minute timer (shown above). It’s a watch I didn’t even think I needed, but fans of saunas likely will.

Finally, this device from the flipper zero creators (shown below) seems almost too smart. But for people who work constantly in an open office and need to get people to leave them alone while they focus, it could be just what they need.

 

 

 

On different ways to clean your Braun coffee maker

There are a number of ways you can clean your Braun coffee maker. You can do it the official way, outlined here: How To Clean Braun Coffee Maker: Step-By-Step Instructions. You can do it with lemon juice, as explained here: How To Clean A Coffee Maker With Lemon Juice. Or you can try any of the many ways listed here: How To Clean A Coffee Maker Without Vinegar? (9 Ways).

I was successful using the lemon juice method. It took me two times using this method before the “Clean” light on my Braun coffee machine turned off, but after that it has gone about its business successfully. My coffee remains delicious. The light has stayed turned off.

Whatever way you choose, it pays to clean the innards of you coffee machine. Make sure you do it.

Just how many blogs do I have?

Good question! You can get a count (and more) if you go to this page: Other blogs and websites on Smart People I Know.

WordPress blogs are just part of the count; there’s also tumblrs, web sites, and social media accounts too. Some of them are active. Others are projects I’ve started and either completed or hit a dead end.

I find tumblrs are especially good for projects, which is why I started doing small creative projects with them. Some blogs are meant to be ongoing, but some times it’s nice to pick a topic or area you want to go deeper on for at least a little while before ending it. Plus, tumblrs have a lot of different themes, which makes it easier to create a special microsite. You can make microsites using other technology too, but I think tumblr is a good fit for me in that regard.

I likely have some other blogs and sites I forgot about. I am sure there’s some Blogger sites I’ve missed. But that page accounts for most of the ones I have had an interest in.

 

Self help for spring time

Bruno Ganz as Damiel in

It’s spring time. Not just a time for spring cleaning, but also a good time for self improvement. Here’s some links that you may find can help with that.

 

Talent vs Luck: or how science shows success is due to something other than intelligence, skill, hard work and risk taking.

I came across this good paper, Talent vs Luck: the role of randomness in success and failure, that I think everyone should read. To see why I recommend it,  I want to chop up the abstract for the paper because it is jammed packed with good insights.

According to the abstract, in our culture:

The largely dominant meritocratic paradigm of highly competitive Western cultures is rooted on the belief that success is due mainly, if not exclusively, to personal qualities such as talent, intelligence, skills, efforts or risk taking. Sometimes, we are willing to admit that a certain degree of luck could also play a role in achieving significant material success.

True that. Most successful people would say that luck had some effect, but it was hard work and talent that got them where they are. Despite that…

.. it is rather common to underestimate the importance of external forces in individual successful stories. It is very well known that intelligence or talent exhibit a Gaussian distribution among the population, whereas the distribution of wealth – considered a proxy of success – follows typically a power law (Pareto law).

Hmmm. Why doesn’t success align with intelligence and talent? Could it be a hidden ingredient?

Such a discrepancy between a Normal distribution of inputs, with a typical scale, and the scale invariant distribution of outputs, suggests that some hidden ingredient is at work behind the scenes.

What could that hidden ingredient be?

In this paper, with the help of a very simple agent-based model, we suggest that such an ingredient is just randomness.

Randomness…i.e., luck.

Money quote:

In particular, we show that, if it is true that some degree of talent is necessary to be successful in life, almost never the most talented people reach the highest peaks of success, being overtaken by mediocre but sensibly luckier individuals.

You may have heard it countless times, but….

As to our knowledge, this counterintuitive result – although implicitly suggested between the lines in a vast literature – is quantified here for the first time.

And because of that, their paper….

…sheds new light on the effectiveness of assessing merit on the basis of the reached level of success and underlines the risks of distributing excessive honors or resources to people who, at the end of the day, could have been simply luckier than others.With the help of this model, several policy hypotheses are also addressed and compared to show the most efficient strategies for public funding of research in order to improve meritocracy, diversity and innovation.

I highly recommend you read the abstract here and the full study here.